
Utilisation of Gold
The Reserve Bank of India must take a contrarian step on selling and using its reserves in the form of gold.
An Immediate, Two-Pronged Release
It needs to quietly release 25 metric tonnes of gold in consultation in the physical market, and another 30 metric tonnes for exporters and users for utilisation in the export agenda.
This can be done through two state-owned entities:
Central Bank of India and Exim Bank of India. Such a move would temper international markets and high expectations.
Rationalising Gold Holdings
One way of rationalising the asset agenda is that private hoards in India are much larger, and the Reserve Bank of India need not hold the current level of holdings. State-owned banks can manage the flow and stocks of gold, which will channel the gold in organised forms and curb smuggling. Recycled gold also needs to be addressed as a useful activity.
Gold for Bilateral Trade and Traceability
Gold is an asset class which can be used to address bilateral trade. Government and state-owned banks can purchase up to 290 metric tonnes of gold from the USA duty-free, and service the Indian markets only with freshly mined gold with India markings and embedded identifiers. This will make the gold traceable to any extent.
Redefining Bank Roles
State-owned banks can be barred from giving gold loans, with this activity managed entirely by non-state actors. At the same time, state-owned banks can back state-owned entities to enter into progressive custodianship of warehoused metals.
The Objective of Immediate Action
The immediate step should be to sell the gold quietly next week in India.
The objective would be:
a) To neutralise the India Rupee premium and make it available at world cost.
b) To supply to neutralise losses in Gold Redemption Bonds due to unusual price increases.
Profits will be available next year as RBI surplus. Indian household assets remain safe, except those accrued through criminal activities. If world markets react, it is best to remain calm – it is a heated market.
A Geostrategic Shift: From London to Tokyo
Additionally, move London gold to Tokyo and lend it to Indian banks, which can borrow in the Yen–Rupee pair, or not. The Yen can then be utilised by Japanese companies in India for shipbuilding, engines, boats of all descriptions, and Fujitsu supercomputers for government applications.
Japanese companies, with Indian government assistance, can also support archaeology and heritage protection. Cooperation in “wholesale banking” in Okinawa can help shorten air trips. Up to 200,000 families can go on two- to three-month work visas and vice versa.Japanese-built cruise vessels till 2040 can support Eastern Asia Pacific needs. There can also be collaboration in Chile and Argentina for goods and services, as well as currency printing and arrangements.